With some serious surf heading toward the West Coast early next week, Big Wave Tour commissioner Mike Parsons and the Surfline forecasting crew are keeping a sharp eye on the waves and weather expected up in Half Moon Bay, where there are high hopes of running the Mavericks Challenge.

MavericksWSL / FRANK QUIRARTE

As usual with Big Wave Tour events, making the call is one of the toughest decisions there is. The goal is to have a large swell timed with optimal conditions. While there’s solid swell approaching on Monday, the risk of unfavorable south winds is high, leading Parsons to determine that Monday is a no-go at this point.

“We’re still yellow for a possible run on Tuesday the 16th,” Parsons said. “Timing-wise we would be going green on 13th for a go day on Tuesday 16th, pending conditions.”

Surfine forecast from Kevin Wallace: Brief Overview: Latest model guidance shows increased S wind on Monday. Confidence also slowly increasing that Tuesday will offer a larger and more consistent swell. Wind doesn’t look perfect by any mean but looks manageable at this point with building NW flow 8-12kts over the afternoon (S wind possible early morning). Neither day look like slam dunks and both have risks/uncertainty, but Tuesday does look more promising at this point.

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